Photo: A render of the proposed Great Atlantic Salt Project: an all-electric underground operation with no tailings or chemical processing, powered by clean Newfoundland hydro.

All figures in Canadian dollars unless otherwise noted.

Disseminated on Behalf of: Atlas Salt Inc.

Every winter, North America runs a quiet experiment in scarcity. The continent cannot produce enough road salt to meet its own demand, importing 8–10 million tonnes a year from countries including Chile, Mexico and Egypt.

When supply slips, the effects are immediate. This past January, Ontario snow contractors faced their second road salt shortage in less than a year, with wholesale prices climbing from roughly $65–$70 per ton to almost $190, according to CityNews Toronto reporting.

Unlike most mined commodities, road salt demand does not follow the economic cycle. It follows the weather, which makes the business behave less like mining and more like a utility.

The project is unusually far along for a company of its size. The feasibility study is complete and was updated in September 2025, the provincial environmental assessment has been released, the Early Works Development Plan is approved and the project is shovel-ready, leaving project financing as the main gate before construction.

"In the manner of getting salt in North America to customers at current prices, there is not enough salt produced in North America to meet that demand," said CEO Nolan Peterson.

The Critical Mineral Nobody Lists

Highway de-icing accounted for about 41% of total U.S. salt consumption in 2024, approximately 19.7 million tonnes, easing to about 37% in 2025, according to the U.S. Geological Survey. The buyers are cities, provinces, states and transportation departments, and the end user is anyone who drives on a winter road.

That gives the commodity a defensive profile most mining investors rarely see. The company estimates the North American de-icing market at approximately $2.6 billion annually.

Peterson argues the sector hides in plain sight.

"There are a lot of things on a critical minerals list: lithium, niobium, scandium, all these ‘-iums’ out there," he said. "Well, we are sodium. Road salt is something that people use."

Old Mines, Deep Problems

If demand is so steady, why has nobody built a new salt mine since 2001? The answer sits underground.

North America’s dozen or so significant salt mines are decades old, typically 500 to 600 metres deep and many operate beneath lakes and rivers. Depth drives up costs, and mining under water carries risk: Cargill’s Avery Island mine in Louisiana closed in 2021, removing about 2.5 million tonnes of annual supply from the U.S. east coast de-icing market.

Great Atlantic is the opposite of a legacy mine. The deposit extends from approximately 180 to 395 metres in depth, varies in thickness from about 68 to 340 metres and sits under dry land. It is developed by two declines from surface rather than a vertical shaft.

That shallow geometry means the mine can be accessed by a gently sloping tunnel, called a drift, rather than an expensive vertical shaft. The result, Peterson says, is faster development, lower capital costs and lower operating costs, with none of the water-table concerns haunting older operations.

The Freight Math That Makes The Mine

Photo: Scenes from a recent visit to the Great Atlantic Salt Project site in western Newfoundland, including drill core, the project marker, and the Atlas Salt team on the ground.

Mining the salt cheaply is only half the equation. In a bulk commodity, shipping can decide who wins the contract.

Great Atlantic sits two kilometres from the deepwater Turf Point port, adjacent to the Trans-Canada Highway and close to the St. George’s substation, giving it direct access to power from Newfoundland and Labrador’s low-carbon electricity grid, which carries a carbon intensity of about 17 g CO2e per kWh. From Turf Point, a vessel can reach Boston in about three days, versus roughly 14 days from Egypt or Chile.

Peterson pegs offshore salt producers’ costs at about $20–$27 per tonne against Atlas Salt’s projected life-of-mine operating cost of approximately $22 per tonne in real 2025 terms, or $28.17 per tonne with escalation, a gap that shipping erases many times over. He estimates overseas suppliers pay approximately $45 per tonne in freight to reach U.S. east coast ports, versus $20–$27 per tonne for Atlas Salt.

"Foreign producers could put that salt on a boat and say, ‘We’re not going to charge you anything, we’re giving you this salt for free,’ and it would still be more expensive than our production cost plus shipping cost to land it in the same ports," Peterson said. "That is how big that advantage is."

Economics That Read Like Infrastructure

For a retail investor, the headline numbers are the cash flows. The study projects $188 million in average annual post-tax free cash flow, a post-tax NPV8 of $920 million, a 21.3% internal rate of return and a 4.2-year payback on initial capital of $589 million.

Those figures put Atlas Salt in rare company. Compass Minerals, the only other publicly traded North American salt producer, generated less unlevered free cash flow than Great Atlantic’s projection on roughly four times the revenue, yet carries an enterprise value near $2 billion, against Atlas Salt’s roughly $198 million.

Names On The Door

Photo: Atlas Salt CEO Nolan Peterson (right) with Newfoundland and Labrador Minister of Finance Craig Pardy (left).

Atlas Salt has spent the past two years assembling partners that rarely engage with junior miners.

"People don’t attach their name very easily to projects that they don’t think are going to go anywhere," Peterson said.

The Road To Production

The defining catalyst is the financing package. Atlas Salt is targeting approximately $350–$400 million of senior secured debt, with the potential for additional subordinate debt, a structure Peterson says is possible because the cash flows resemble infrastructure more than exploration.

"Everything that we stack on will minimize the amount of additional equity dilution we have to deal with," he said.

The balance sheet gives the company room to negotiate: $18.5 million in net cash, no warrant overhang and insider ownership above 30%. Institutional investors have been steadily building positions across three financings, priced progressively higher from $0.80 in October 2025 to $1.20 for a $15 million bought deal in June 2026.

For 2026, the milestones are straightforward: close the financing, add strategic partners and begin converting a permitted project into a producing one.

"There is money to be made here, and it is being made by smart money," Peterson said. "They are happy to be making it while everybody else is chasing gold stories."

For more on the company’s outlook, watch Atlas Salt’s latest interview with Renmark.

The scientific and technical information contained within this article has been reviewed and approved by Andrew Smith, P.Eng., Atlas Salt Inc.’s Project Director and General Manager for the Great Atlantic Salt Project, who is a Qualified Person, as defined under the terms in National Instrument 43-101.

About Atlas Salt Inc.

Learn more at atlassalt.com.

Featured image from Atlas Salt Inc.

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