Methodology

Plain-language guide to how the dashboard works. This page is meant for anyone curious about the app — not a technical manual.


In one sentence

See which industries matter most in your state and how today's news might be affecting them.

The app tries to answer three simple questions:

  1. Structure — What kinds of jobs and industries does this state rely on?
  2. Events — What are people reading about, and could it touch those industries?
  3. Effect — When news looks bad for a sector, how does that show up on the dashboard — without jumping around every time you refresh?

What you see on screen (two layers)

The map and side panels show two different things. They work together, but they are not the same number.

Screen layout

AreaWhat's on screenWhat it's for
Top — state picker + overall gaugeGDP, Jobs, and Inflation barsBig-picture economy for the state (official stats + news blend)
Industry panelSpecialized sectors, health bars, underrepresented sectorsWhat this state is known for, plus how news may be stressing those sectors
News feed (below the map)Headlines for your stateStory intensity on each card; industry health stays in the panel

What each number means

What you seeWhat it meansWhere it comes from
Overall gauge (top)A quick read on how the state is doing overallGovernment economic data + news signals
GDP / Jobs / Inflation barsHow this state compares to other states right nowUS government sources (Bureau of Economic Analysis, Bureau of Labor Statistics)
Industry health barsStress on industries this state depends onCensus job patterns + news analysis
Specialization (LQ)Which industries this region is especially built aroundUS Census business patterns
Impact on news cardsHow loud or intense a group of related stories feelsAutomated news analysis

Important: The GDP bar shows year-over-year growth (not total GDP size in dollars, and not a single industry like manufacturing).


How we organize the idea (three layers)

Layer 1 — We use standard US industry categories so states can be compared fairly.

Layer 2 — Census data shows which industries each state specializes in. This changes slowly (months, not hours).

Layer 3 — News is processed automatically. When a story looks harmful for a sector, that sector’s health can drop. Over quiet days, health drifts back up — it is not meant to stay stuck forever after one headline.


Where the numbers come from

Top of the panel (state-wide economy)

MetricSourcePlain English
GDPBureau of Economic AnalysisIs the state’s economy growing compared to others?
UnemploymentBureau of Labor StatisticsAre fewer or more people out of work than in other states?
InflationBureau of Labor StatisticsIs the cost of living rising faster or slower? (Uses regional price data, not a perfect per-state number.)

These are official statistics, updated on government schedules (monthly or quarterly). They lag real life a bit.

Industry panel (structure + news)

IdeaSourcePlain English
Specialization (LQ)US Census“This state has more than its fair share of jobs in this industry.”
Employment shareUS CensusRoughly how many jobs sit in each sector.
Industry healthOur news pipelineNot from Census — this moves when automated news analysis flags stress on a sector.

Location Quotient (LQ) in simple terms: if a state has a high share of jobs in an industry compared to the US average, we call it specialized here. That is why the industry panel focuses on those sectors — they are the ones that matter most locally.


All data sources at a glance

Everything on the dashboard traces back to one of these. Nothing is hand-entered.

Official government statistics

SourceWhat we take from itWhy we use it
Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA)State GDP and year-over-year GDP growthThe standard measure of whether a state's economy is growing or shrinking
Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS)State unemployment rates, plus a national baseline; regional consumer price data (inflation), plus a national baselineJobs and cost-of-living are the two numbers people feel most directly
US Census (County Business Patterns)Employment counts by state and industry sectorThe most reliable public picture of which industries actually employ people in each state — this powers specialization (LQ) and the industry panel

News and events

SourceWhat we take from itWhy we use it
GDELT (Global Database of Events, Language, and Tone)A worldwide feed of news events with machine-coded signals: event type, an intensity scale, tone, source links, and how widely a story is mentionedIt gives structured, comparable signals across thousands of outlets — something raw headlines alone cannot provide
Curated RSS feeds (NBC, NPR, BBC, WIRED, IEEE Spectrum, The Fintech Times)Headlines and article summaries pulled directly from each outletFills gaps GDELT misses — especially technology, science, and finance coverage — from outlets we chose deliberately
Enrichment RSS feeds (the outlets above, plus Al Jazeera)Titles and descriptions used to fill in missing details for articles we already haveSome article links arrive with no readable title; these feeds help us show something meaningful instead of a bare URL

Automated processing (not original sources)

These do not add new data — they help interpret what the sources above provide:

  • Article text extraction — software fetches and cleans article text so it can be analyzed.
  • Bias and reliability classifier — an open research model (mediabiasgroup/roberta-anno-lexical-ft) estimates lean and factual style on articles. It is a model's opinion of writing style, not a verdict on truth.

What we do not use (yet)

To set expectations: the dashboard does not currently use BLS's detailed quarterly employment census (QCEW), BEA's per-industry GDP breakdowns, or GDELT's expanded knowledge graph. Industry-level detail comes from the Census employment data described above.


Two scores — do not mix them up

Story intensity (news cards)Industry health (panel)
The questionHow big or loud is this bundle of related stories right now?How strained are this state's key industries right now?
How it behavesCan spike when many outlets cover the same topicMoves more slowly; can recover after things calm down
Where you see itNews feed and compare pagesIndustry panel health bars

Story intensity — Shown on news and compare pages. It combines how strong the automated “conflict/cooperation” signal is, how emotional the tone looks, and how many articles are in the cluster. Higher usually means more coverage and stronger signals — not “this is definitely true.”

Industry health — Shown as bars in the industry panel. Each specialized sector starts at a healthy baseline. Negative-leaning news can pull it down. The score is stored so it does not flicker on every page load. It is not a stock price, a jobs report, or official government data.

Overall gauge vs industry “Overall” — The number at the very top blends state-wide economic stats with industry health. The “Overall” line inside the industry panel is only about specialized sectors. They will not always match — that is intentional.


Labels on the map

Overall scoreLabel
Higher rangeStable
Middle rangeAt Risk
Lower rangeUnstable

These labels compare states to each other at the same time. They are not an official government index, a credit rating, or investment advice.


How we label news sources on cards

Some articles come from a global event database (GDELT). Others come from curated RSS feeds (major outlets). The dashboard shows where a metric came from so you know when a number is measured directly vs estimated from text. If we are not confident, we show instead of guessing.


Limitations (read this)

  • Not financial advice. This is an educational project. Talk to a professional before making money decisions.
  • Automation has blind spots. Headlines are classified by software. Sarcasm, local context, and breaking updates can be wrong.
  • Official data is slow. Jobs and GDP update on government schedules; news moves faster.
  • Inflation is approximate. We use regional price data, not a perfect CPI number for every state.
  • News routing is imperfect. A story about one topic might temporarily affect a related industry bucket — the model is coarse on purpose.
  • Quiet states get fewer signals. If little news mentions your state, scores lean more on economic stats than on industry shocks.
  • Compare page “consensus” — When several outlets use similar wording, we highlight that. Agreement is not the same as fact-checking.
  • Scores are relative. “Stable” means better than many states in this app right now, not “nothing bad can happen.”

What this app is for

Use it to explore how regional industry structure and headlines might connect — especially if you care about policy, local economies, or how news gets summarized.

For formulas, edge cases, and technical details, see TECHNICAL-REFERENCE.md in the project repository (developer-oriented).

For legal terms and disclaimers, see Disclaimer, Terms, and Privacy.